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Alfred Rolington. Strategic Intelligence For The 21st Century: The Mosaic Method

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  • by Alfred Rolington;
  • Strategic intelligence for the 21st century : the mosaic method.
  • Weekly American Gray Swans.

Social Networking Sites. Stem Cell Research. The author directly addresses the strong relationship between a specific intelligence perspective of an organization with the environment in which intelligence is created. He provides the example of Sherman Kent definition of intelligence2 to show that while it is still relevant for many aspects, it appears too narrow and focused on foreign and overseas powers because linked to the Cold War context.

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Coherently, Rolington did a fine job exploring the profound changes that shape the contemporary threat environment in order to understand how useful strategic intelligence should constructed accordingly. He offers a fresh perspective on the main impacts of the digital revolution managing to put together both the challenges and opportunities of this new landscape that organizations should embrace.

Therefore he calls for more networked intelligence organizations as many of these new threats appear to cross borders such as terrorism and cyber threats. After a brief section dedicated to the history of new information sources, Rolington gives a fascinating insight on the Internet, recognizing the cyberspace to represent the new main threat arena. He refers to the incapacity of organizations to both access and limit 1 A. He recalls the missed prediction of the Arab Spring, considered one of the latest intelligence failures, to show that a far more inclusion of open-source information such a closer monitoring of social media could have helped to predict it or at least to forecast more plausible outcomes.

From this argument, Rolington draws his conclusion where he proposes an eight-layers intelligence model to produce useful intelligence calling for more far networked and collaborative internal organizations structures.

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It comprehends the so-called Mosaic Method, which will use a shared database between analysts and policymakers, the web and other relevant technologies to offer an historic, political and economic background to a current reality and provide a broader picture of it.